Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.032129 0.037431 0.043269 0.050162 0.058071 0.066852 0.077329
2025-09-07 0.025232 0.032408 0.041035 0.052129 0.065978 0.082650 0.104194
2025-09-14 0.019722 0.027606 0.037842 0.052016 0.071035 0.095556 0.129436
2025-09-21 0.015405 0.023304 0.034291 0.050539 0.073770 0.105567 0.152114
2025-09-28 0.012524 0.020322 0.031862 0.049952 0.077309 0.116765 0.177495
2025-10-05 0.011158 0.019259 0.031917 0.052798 0.085942 0.135936 0.216254
2025-10-12 0.009864 0.018035 0.031462 0.054676 0.093193 0.153711 0.254776
2025-10-19 0.008219 0.015904 0.029170 0.053176 0.094750 0.162683 0.280406
2025-10-26 0.007051 0.014386 0.027644 0.052668 0.097745 0.174087 0.310911
2025-11-02 0.005944 0.012771 0.025675 0.051046 0.098513 0.181708 0.335677
2025-11-09 0.005077 0.011463 0.024056 0.049795 0.099701 0.190028 0.362281
2025-11-16 0.004483 0.010603 0.023160 0.049762 0.103070 0.202445 0.397220
2025-11-23 0.003836 0.009526 0.021695 0.048455 0.103941 0.210574 0.425539
2025-11-30 0.003577 0.009270 0.021901 0.050598 0.111894 0.232839 0.482654
2025-12-07 0.003179 0.008619 0.021152 0.050609 0.115483 0.247001 0.525502
2025-12-14 0.002741 0.007782 0.019856 0.049228 0.115953 0.254974 0.556823
2025-12-21 0.002418 0.007173 0.018989 0.048684 0.118145 0.266620 0.596624
2025-12-28 0.002321 0.007148 0.019520 0.051479 0.128084 0.295375 0.674511
2026-01-04 0.002180 0.006972 0.019651 0.053321 0.136042 0.320611 0.747137
2026-01-11 0.001899 0.006339 0.018512 0.051859 0.136076 0.328530 0.783012
2026-01-18 0.001695 0.005893 0.017795 0.051365 0.138357 0.341640 0.831458
2026-01-25 0.001474 0.005349 0.016721 0.049781 0.137753 0.348079 0.865409
2026-02-01 0.001295 0.004896 0.015831 0.048559 0.137903 0.356252 0.904011